Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.032009 0.037413 0.043371 0.050415 0.058504 0.067490 0.078218
2025-07-13 0.025483 0.032916 0.041870 0.053407 0.067824 0.085190 0.107633
2025-07-20 0.020639 0.029108 0.040136 0.055435 0.075979 0.102465 0.139024
2025-07-27 0.016112 0.024627 0.036525 0.054167 0.079421 0.113982 0.164501
2025-08-03 0.013041 0.021443 0.033955 0.053642 0.083461 0.126456 0.192509
2025-08-10 0.010460 0.018421 0.030997 0.051903 0.085248 0.135661 0.216659
2025-08-17 0.008574 0.016097 0.028654 0.050606 0.087310 0.145233 0.242121
2025-08-24 0.007321 0.014579 0.027319 0.050639 0.091323 0.158043 0.273725
2025-08-31 0.006109 0.012889 0.025387 0.049303 0.092763 0.166695 0.299315
2025-09-07 0.005579 0.012381 0.025468 0.051494 0.100481 0.186471 0.345259
2025-09-14 0.004875 0.011390 0.024476 0.051521 0.104242 0.199707 0.381102
2025-09-21 0.004143 0.010193 0.022882 0.050137 0.105142 0.207841 0.408532
2025-09-28 0.003573 0.009257 0.021703 0.049467 0.107444 0.218975 0.442951
2025-10-05 0.003358 0.009101 0.022151 0.052232 0.116902 0.244520 0.506797
2025-10-12 0.003098 0.008783 0.022193 0.054126 0.124790 0.267787 0.568428
2025-10-19 0.002662 0.007933 0.020886 0.052840 0.125803 0.277510 0.604357
2025-10-26 0.002334 0.007295 0.019969 0.052304 0.128347 0.290531 0.648026
2025-11-02 0.001992 0.006542 0.018642 0.050594 0.128035 0.297524 0.679861
2025-11-09 0.001721 0.005929 0.017563 0.049322 0.128545 0.306261 0.716059
2025-11-16 0.001541 0.005550 0.017034 0.049351 0.132109 0.321942 0.768451
2025-11-23 0.001334 0.005036 0.016049 0.048045 0.132262 0.329991 0.804759
2025-11-30 0.001269 0.004975 0.016335 0.050183 0.141230 0.358942 0.890212
2025-12-07 0.001143 0.004676 0.015877 0.050210 0.144815 0.375680 0.949220